Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 51.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Metz had a probability of 23.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Nice |
| 23.15% | 25.28% | 51.57% |
| Both teams to score 49.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.61% | 53.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.08% | 74.92% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.88% | 38.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.12% | 74.88% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.29% | 20.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.68% | 53.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 7.61% 2-1 @ 5.78% 2-0 @ 3.67% 3-1 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.46% 3-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.58% Total : 23.15% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 12.42% 0-2 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-3 @ 5.14% 1-3 @ 4.95% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-4 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.95% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.52% Total : 51.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | S | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | I | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| 3 | S | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | T | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5 | R | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nice | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | Brest | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
| 4 | Reims | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Rennes | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | Lille | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | NantesNantes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 11 | Le HavreLe Havre | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 | Marseille | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Metz | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Lens | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Lorient | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Clermont | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 2 |
| 18 | Lyon | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 2 |
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