Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 47.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 24.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Nantes |
| 47.51% | 27.67% | 24.82% |
| Both teams to score 44.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.4% | 60.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.31% | 80.69% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.37% | 25.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.48% | 60.51% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.39% | 40.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.79% | 77.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 14.16% 2-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 8.69% 3-0 @ 4.38% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-1 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.06% Total : 47.5% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 10.4% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 9.38% 1-2 @ 5.75% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.27% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.29% Total : 24.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 27 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 68 | 26 | 42 | 66 |
| 2 | Marseille | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 56 |
| 3 | Lens | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 54 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 51 |
| 5 | Rennes | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 47 |
| 6 | Lille | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 36 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Nice | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 43 |
| 8 | Reims | 27 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 43 |
| 9 | Lorient | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 43 |
| 10 | Lyon | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 40 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 35 |
| 12 | Clermont | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 33 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 23 |
| 16 | Brest | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 23 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 23 |
| 18 | Ajaccio | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 21 |
| 19 | Troyes | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 20 |
| 20 | Angers | 27 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 10 |
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