Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Monaco | 
| 27.97% | 26.31% | 45.71% | 
| Both teams to score 50.28% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 46.1% | 53.9% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24.64% | 75.36% | 
| Nantes Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 65.75% | 34.25% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.05% | 70.95% | 
| Monaco Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.48% | 23.52% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.43% | 57.56% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Nantes | Draw | Monaco | 
| 1-0 @ 8.63% 2-1 @ 6.69% 2-0 @ 4.62% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 1.73% 3-0 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.25% Total : 27.97% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 8.06% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 11.65% 1-2 @ 9.04% 0-2 @ 8.44% 1-3 @ 4.36% 0-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.58% 0-4 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.76% Total : 45.71% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 70 | 29 | 41 | 69 | 
| 2 | Lens | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 50 | 22 | 28 | 63 | 
| 3 | Marseille | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 61 | 
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 63 | 42 | 21 | 58 | 
| 5 | Lille | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 52 | 
| 6 | Rennes | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 50 | 
| 7 | Lyon | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 47 | 
| 8 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 47 | 
| 9 | Nice | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 45 | 
| 10 | Lorient | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 45 | 
| 11 | Clermont | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 40 | 
| 12 | Toulouse | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 38 | 
| 13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 | 
| 14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 31 | 
| 15 | Auxerre | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 51 | -24 | 29 | 
| 16 | Brest | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 28 | 
| 17 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 26 | 
| 18 | Troyes | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 21 | 
| 19 | Ajaccio | 30 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 55 | -34 | 21 | 
| 20 | Angers | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 14 | 
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