Adana Demirspor have undoubtedly been the surprise package in Turkish football this season, with Montella proving his managerial credentials since taking over the club over 18 months ago.
Although Kayserispor will represent difficult opposition for the hosts, we expect them to claim a fourth consecutive win, and strengthen their stranglehold on fourth position in the process.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 71.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 12.62%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 3-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.17%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 1-2 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Adana Demirspor would win this match.
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