

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 51.76%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Rennes |
| 24.25% ( | 23.98% ( | 51.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.87% ( | 47.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.64% ( | 69.36% ( |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.33% ( | 33.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.68% ( | 70.32% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.8% ( | 18.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.79% ( | 49.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 6.67% ( 2-1 @ 6.19% ( 2-0 @ 3.63% ( 3-1 @ 2.25% ( 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 3-0 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 24.25% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.98% | 0-1 @ 10.43% ( 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0-2 @ 8.89% ( 1-3 @ 5.5% ( 0-3 @ 5.05% ( 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 1-4 @ 2.34% ( 0-4 @ 2.15% ( 2-4 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 3.44% Total : 51.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 80 | 26 | 54 | 74 |
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 53 |
| 3 | Marseille | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Lyon | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 51 |
| 5 | Lille | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 50 |
| 6 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 50 |
| 7 | Nice | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 48 |
| 8 | Brest | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 44 |
| 9 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Rennes | 30 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 38 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 34 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 30 |
| 14 | Angers | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 30 |
| 15 | Reims | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 32 | 62 | -30 | 27 |
| 17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 67 | -36 | 24 |
| 18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 21 | 66 | -45 | 15 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
