Girona

1 - 4

Barcelona

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Girona had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Girona win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.