Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 67.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Granada had a probability of 13.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Granada win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Granada |
67.87% (![]() | 18.23% (![]() | 13.9% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.82% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.81% (![]() | 37.19% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.61% (![]() | 59.39% (![]() |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.96% (![]() | 10.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.89% (![]() | 33.11% (![]() |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.93% (![]() | 39.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.21% (![]() | 75.79% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Granada |
2-0 @ 10.36% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.74% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.02% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.94% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.46% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.56% 4-1 @ 4.29% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 3.98% Total : 67.87% | 1-1 @ 8.47% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.58% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.23% | 1-2 @ 3.98% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 1.82% Total : 13.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |