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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 46
May 3, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
QPR logo

Sunderland
0 - 1
QPR


Neill (29'), O'Nien (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Madsen (5')
Kolli (56'), Madsen (74'), Frey (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Sunderland
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-5 Burnley
Saturday, April 26 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 60.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 16.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
SunderlandDrawQueens Park Rangers
60.95% (0.869 0.87)22.13% (-0.336 -0.34)16.92% (-0.532 -0.53)
Both teams to score 48.9% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.34% (0.523 0.52)48.66% (-0.521 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.23% (0.473 0.47)70.77% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.5% (0.46599999999999 0.47)15.5% (-0.466 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.61% (0.865 0.87)44.39% (-0.865 -0.87)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.87% (-0.346 -0.35)42.13% (0.346 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.45% (-0.299 -0.3)78.55% (0.29900000000001 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 60.94%
    Queens Park Rangers 16.92%
    Draw 22.13%
SunderlandDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 12.17% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 11.34% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.05% (0.186 0.19)
3-1 @ 6.1% (0.103 0.1)
4-0 @ 3.29% (0.137 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.029 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.07 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 60.94%
1-1 @ 10.52% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 22.13%
0-1 @ 5.64% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-2 @ 4.55% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.44% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.045 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 16.92%

How you voted: Sunderland vs QPR

Sunderland
82.4%
Draw
0.0%
Queens Park Rangers
17.6%
17
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 13
QPR
0-0
Sunderland
Celar (78')
Moore (70'), Roberts (90+6')
Bellingham (58')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 38
Sunderland
0-0
QPR
Hume (73')
Dunne (45'), Willock (87')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
QPR
1-3
Sunderland
Paal (12')
Armstrong (33'), Kakay (79')
Colback (21')
Clarke (45+8'), Ballard (57'), Ba (81')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
QPR
0-3
Sunderland
O'Nien (34'), Clarke (82', 90+2')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Sunderland
2-2
QPR
Stewart (31'), Simms (40')
Clarke (26'), Evans (41'), Gooch (85')
Chair (87'), Dieng (90+2')
Field (30'), Dickie (38')