Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.