Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Genoa | 
| 48.6% | 24.23% | 27.17% | 
| Both teams to score 56.26% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.2% | 45.8% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.88% | 68.11% | 
| Cagliari Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.07% | 18.93% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.57% | 50.43% | 
| Genoa Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.39% | 30.61% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.16% | 66.84% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Cagliari | Draw | Genoa | 
| 1-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 9.5% 2-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 5.27% 3-0 @ 4.45% 3-2 @ 3.12% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.24% Total : 48.6%  | 1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 5.79% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.23%  | 0-1 @ 6.86% 1-2 @ 6.76% 0-2 @ 4.06% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 3% Total : 27.17%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 58 | 15 | 43 | 65 | 
| 2 | Inter Milan | 24 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 47 | 
| 3 | AC Milan | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 47 | 
| 4 | Lazio | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 19 | 21 | 45 | 
| 5 | Roma | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 44 | 
| 6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 41 | 
| 7 | Juventus | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 19 | 21 | 35 | 
| 8 | Bologna | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 35 | 
| 9 | Torino | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 31 | 
| 10 | Udinese | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 31 | 
| 11 | Monza | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 29 | 
| 12 | Fiorentina | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 28 | 
| 13 | Empoli | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 28 | 
| 14 | SassuoloSassuolo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 27 | 
| 15 | Lecce | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 | 
| 16 | Salernitana | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 | 
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 20 | 
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 17 | 
| 19 | Cremonese | 24 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 12 | 
| 20 | Sampdoria | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 11 | 
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