Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between United City and Melbourne City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: United City 0-3 Melbourne City
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in AFC Champions League
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-2 Western Utd
Saturday, May 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, May 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Central Coast Mariners | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1 | 8 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 53%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for United City had a probability of 22.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a United City win it was 1-0 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| United City | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 22.07% | 24.93% | 53% |
| Both teams to score 48.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
