Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 53.83%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 23.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.