Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 24.39% | 24.02% | 51.59% |
| Both teams to score 54.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.84% | 47.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.6% | 69.4% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.43% | 33.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.78% | 70.21% |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.72% | 18.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.66% | 49.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 6.7% 2-1 @ 6.21% 2-0 @ 3.66% 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.92% 3-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.31% Total : 24.39% | 1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 6.14% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 9.67% 0-2 @ 8.86% 1-3 @ 5.48% 0-3 @ 5.02% 2-3 @ 2.99% 1-4 @ 2.33% 0-4 @ 2.13% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.41% Total : 51.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Porto | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 | Braga | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 7 |
| 3 | Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | PortimonensePortimonense | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Sporting Lisbon | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | ChavesChaves | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Vizela | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | Maritimo | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 0 |
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