Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Porto |
21.92% | 24.22% | 53.86% |
Both teams to score 50.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.57% | 50.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.64% | 72.36% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.36% | 37.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.58% | 74.42% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.35% | 18.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.04% | 49.96% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 6.86% 2-1 @ 5.63% 2-0 @ 3.35% 3-1 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.54% 3-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.62% Total : 21.92% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 7.02% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 11.78% 0-2 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 9.67% 0-3 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 5.42% 2-3 @ 2.65% 0-4 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 2.27% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.19% Total : 53.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 21 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 19 |
3 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
4 | Braga | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 9 |
10 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
11 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 8 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
14 | ChavesChaves | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 7 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
16 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 4 |
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