MX23RW : Thursday, May 22 14:05:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 11, 2025 at 3.45pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
NEC

Ajax
0 - 3
Nijmegen


Gaaei (30'), Fitz-Jim (64'), Berghuis (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hansen (59'), Pereira (67'), Ouaissa (82')
Marquez (27'), van Crooij (37'), Pereira (38'), Verdonk (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 1-1 Sparta
Sunday, April 27 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Willem II
Saturday, May 3 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 3-1 NEC

While Ajax have only taken a point from their last two games, they are still unbeaten at home this season, and we feel they will take a step closer to securing the league title by winning this match fairly comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 65.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for NEC had a probability of 15.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawNEC
65.25% (-0.197 -0.2) 19.27% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 15.49% (0.106 0.11)
Both teams to score 55.25% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.38% (-0.226 -0.23)38.63% (0.229 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.08% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)60.93% (0.242 0.24)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.9% (-0.114 -0.11)11.1% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.5% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)35.5% (0.259 0.26)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)37.85% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)74.62% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 65.25%
    NEC 15.49%
    Draw 19.27%
AjaxDrawNEC
2-0 @ 10.15% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.24% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 7.44% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.09% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.8% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 65.25%
1-1 @ 8.97% (0.052000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.2% (0.046 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.27%
1-2 @ 4.36% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.08% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.98% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.41% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 15.49%

How you voted: Ajax vs Nijmegen

Ajax
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
NEC
0.0%
24
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 14
Nijmegen
1-2
Ajax
Hansen (13')
Sano (90+3')
Weghorst (15', 48')
Rensch (31'), Weghorst (51'), Gaaei (69'), Hato (74'), Kaplan (90')
Feb 18, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 22
Ajax
2-2
Nijmegen
Brobbey (7'), Borges (79')
Brobbey (67'), Hlynsson (87')
Hato (61' og.), Rober (90+5')
Dec 3, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 14
Nijmegen
1-2
Ajax
Tavsan (90')
Hlynsson (57'), Borges (88')
Mar 5, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 24
Ajax
1-0
Nijmegen
Kudus (52')
Jan 8, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 15
Nijmegen
1-1
Ajax
Dimata (52')
Klaassen (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342545103396479
2Ajax34246467323578
3Feyenoord34208676383868
4FC UtrechtUtrecht341810662451764
5AZ AlkmaarAZ34169958372157
6FC Twente341591062491354
7Go Ahead Eagles34149115755251
8NECNijmegen34127155146543
9Heerenveen34127154257-1543
10PEC Zwolle341011134351-841
11Fortuna SittardSittard34118153754-1741
12Sparta RotterdamSparta34912133943-439
13Groningen34109154053-1339
14Heracles34911144263-2138
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3489173458-2433
16Willem II3468203456-2226
RRKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3467214474-3025
RAlmere CityAlmere City34410202364-4122


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