Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Frankfurt 4-1 Ajax
Thursday, March 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, March 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Goals
for
for
53
Last Game: Spurs 3-1 AZ
Thursday, March 13 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, March 13 at 8pm in Europa League
Goals
for
for
40
We said: Ajax 2-1 AZ Alkmaar
Given Ajax's impressive form, it is difficult to see them slipping up against an AZ side that have lost their last two away matches in all competitions. The hosts have been resolute at the back throughout their 10-game winning streak, while their attack has found its rhythm at just the right time, and that firepower could prove too much for an AZ defence that have shipped nine goals in their last four away outings. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.32%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
54.32% ( -0.26) | 21.99% ( 0.03) | 23.69% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 60.38% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
