Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.