Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.