Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 29
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
McDiarmid Park
We said: St Johnstone 3-0 Livingston
This is a classic 'six-pointer' due to how close the two teams are in the league table and the fact that time is running out for both sides to secure their Scottish Premiership status for next season.
St Johnstone will be the favourites as they have the home advantage and have been a stronger team throughout the season, and that should be enough to see them dispatch Livingston.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 37.36% . A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.7% .
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.83%) . The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood .
Result St Johnstone Draw Livingston 34.89% ( -0.04) 27.75% ( 0.06) 37.36% ( -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.51% ( -0.2)
42.66% ( -0.25) 57.34% ( 0.24)
21.83% ( -0.2) 78.17% ( 0.19)
68.88% ( -0.15) 31.12% ( 0.15)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 32.56% ( -0.17) 67.44% ( 0.17)
70.43% ( -0.14) 29.57% ( 0.14)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.4% ( -0.17) 65.6% ( 0.17)
St Johnstone 34.89%
Livingston 37.36%
Draw 27.74%
St Johnstone Draw Livingston 1-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.89% 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.74% 0-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.36%
How you voted: St Johnstone vs Livingston
St Johnstone
Draw
Livingston
9
rhs 2.0
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