Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 43.14%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 27.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 1-0 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.