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La Liga

Rayo Vallecano logo
La Liga | Gameweek 17
Dec 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Real Madrid logo

Rayo Vallecano
3 - 3
Real Madrid

Lopez (4'), Mumin (36'), Isi (64')
Batalla (27'), Nteka (34'), Isi (44'), Camello (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Valverde (39'), Bellingham (45'), Rodrygo (56')
Modric (62'), Junior (74')

The Match

Match Report

Real Madrid spurn the chance to move top of La Liga as they are held 3-3 by Rayo Vallecano in a thrilling six-goal encounter on Saturday afternoon.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up against Rayo Vallecano in Saturday's La Liga contest.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Rayo Vallecano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, December 7 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Atalanta 2-3 Real Madrid
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawReal Madrid
25.51% (-0.387 -0.39)25.2% (-0.146 -0.15)49.29% (0.537 0.54)
Both teams to score 51.7% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.88% (0.292 0.29)51.12% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.03% (0.255 0.26)72.97% (-0.253 -0.25)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.24% (-0.16900000000001 -0.17)34.76% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.51% (-0.179 -0.18)71.49% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25% (0.349 0.35)20.75% (-0.347 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.61% (0.543 0.54)53.39% (-0.541 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 25.51%
    Real Madrid 49.29%
    Draw 25.19%
Rayo VallecanoDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 7.62% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-1 @ 6.33% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.03% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.23% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 25.51%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.21% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 11.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 8.92% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
1-3 @ 4.94% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
0-3 @ 4.68% (0.093 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.94% (0.05 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.84% (0.056 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 49.29%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid

Rayo Vallecano
12.7%
Draw
6.4%
Real Madrid
80.9%
173
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 25
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Real Madrid
De Tomas (27' pen.)
Isi (45+1'), Balliu (45+4'), de Tomas (81'), Garcia (82')
Joselu (3')
Camavinga (61'), Carvajal (90+3')
Carvajal (90+5')
> Preview
Nov 5, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 12
Real Madrid
0-0
Rayo Vallecano
Camavinga (62'), Junior (74'), Rudiger (90+6')
Ratiu (44'), Ciss (57'), Trejo (88'), Lejeune (90+6'), Dimitrievski (90+1')
> Preview
May 24, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 36
Real Madrid
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
Benzema (31'), Rodrygo (89')
Carvajal (60')
De Tomas (84')
Garcia (33'), Lopez (51'), Comesana (53')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 13
Rayo Vallecano
3-2
Real Madrid
Comesana (5'), Garcia (44'), Trejo (67' pen.)
Modric (37' pen.), Militao (41')
> Match Report
Feb 26, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Real Madrid

Valentin (42'), Trejo (56'), Balliu (65'), Bebe (72'), Catena (79')
Benzema (83')
Casemiro (58'), Mendy (63'), Ceballos (90+6')
> Preview