La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 21

Jan 26, 2025 at 1pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Girona

Nteka (80', 83')
Lopez (21'), Lejeune (90+7'), Nteka (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gil (58')
Herrera (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Osasuna 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, January 19 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Girona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Girona
Wednesday, January 22 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Girona had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Girona
36.83% ( 1.31)	26.91% ( -0.21)	36.26% ( -1.11)

Both teams to score 51.21% (

0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.99% (

0.86)

54% (

-0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.56% (

0.72)

75.44% (

-0.72)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.73% (

1.22)

28.27% (

-1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.01% (

1.51)

63.98% (

-1.51)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.39% (

-0.24)

28.61% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.58% (

-0.31)

64.41% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 36.82%

Girona 36.26%

Draw 26.9%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.82%	1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.9%	0-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.26%