

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano | 
| 48.3% (  0.8) | 25.11% (  -0.11) | 26.59% (  -0.69) | 
| Both teams to score 52.94% (  -0.2) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.07% (  0) | 49.93% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.08% (  0) | 71.92% (  -0.01) | 
| Girona Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.3% (  0.34) | 20.7% (  -0.35) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.7% (  0.54) | 53.3% (  -0.55) | 
| Rayo Vallecano Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.76% (  -0.55) | 33.23% (  0.54) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.15% (  -0.6) | 69.84% (  0.59) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Girona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano | 
| 1-0 @ 10.83% (  0.11) 2-1 @ 9.4% (  0.06) 2-0 @ 8.53% (  0.18) 3-1 @ 4.94% (  0.08) 3-0 @ 4.48% (  0.14) 3-2 @ 2.72% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 1.94% (  0.05) 4-0 @ 1.77% (  0.07) 4-2 @ 1.07% (  0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 48.29% | 1-1 @ 11.93% (  -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.88% (  -0) 2-2 @ 5.18% (  -0.04) 3-3 @ 1% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.58% (  -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.57% (  -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.17% (  -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.41% (  -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.9% (  -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.53% (  -0.07) Other @ 2.42% Total : 26.59% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 | 
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 | 
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 | 
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 | 
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 | 
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 | 
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 | 
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 | 
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 | 
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
