Both of these sides have enjoyed solid starts to the campaign, and we are expecting a close match on Thursday afternoon. Rayo will be eyeing their seventh league victory of the season, but Girona are unbeaten in their last four league matches, and we are predicting a low-scoring draw here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-2.25) 
0.75) 
