Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 41.18%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Girona had a probability of 28.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.33%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
