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Rayo Vallecano logo
La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Osauna logo

Rayo Vallecano
3 - 1
Osasuna

Mumin (50'), Ratiu (66'), Lopez (90+5')
Camello (59'), Mumin (78'), Lopez (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Garcia (27')
Zaragoza (19'), Moreno (20'), Moncayola (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Espanyol 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, August 31 at 6.15pm in La Liga

Osasuna

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 3-2 Celta Vigo
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawOsasuna
45.96% (-0.431 -0.43)27.02% (0.026 0.03)27.02% (0.4 0.4)
Both teams to score 47.6% (0.205 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.94% (0.122 0.12)57.06% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06% (0.097999999999999 0.1)77.94% (-0.101 -0.1)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.21% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)24.79% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.64% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)59.36% (0.213 0.21)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.28% (0.4 0.4)36.72% (-0.403 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.5% (0.401 0.4)73.5% (-0.405 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 45.96%
    Osasuna 27.02%
    Draw 27.01%
Rayo VallecanoDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 12.69% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.85% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 45.96%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.1% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 9.12% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.37% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.57% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 27.02%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna

Rayo Vallecano
64.0%
Draw
17.5%
Osasuna
18.5%
200
Head to Head
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Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Osasuna
Chavarria (80'), Isi (84')
Valentin (45'), Lopez (46'), Ciss (51'), Isi (86')
Gomez (29')
Munoz (48')
> Preview
Dec 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Osasuna
1-0
Rayo Vallecano
Garcia (90+5')
Arnaiz (74'), Garcia (90+6')

Espino (40'), Ciss (55'), Perez (55')
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Gameweek 29
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Osasuna
Hernandez (40' og.), Isi (43')
Gomez (66')
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Osasuna
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
Oroz (54'), Garcia (90')
Lejeune (75')
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Gameweek 24
Rayo Vallecano
0-3
Osasuna

Garcia (24'), Saveljich (34')
Moncayola (8'), Garcia (40'), Kike (90+3')
Vidal (70')
> Preview