Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Girona had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Girona | 
| 40.3% (  -0.06) | 25.9% (  -0.01) | 33.8% (  0.07) | 
| Both teams to score 54.2% (  0.05) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 49.94% (  0.05) | 50.06% (  -0.05) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 27.97% (  0.05) | 72.03% (  -0.05) | 
| Valencia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.49% (  -0.01) | 24.51% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.03% (  -0.01) | 58.97% (  0.01) | 
| Girona Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.79% (  0.07) | 28.21% (  -0.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.1% (  0.09) | 63.9% (  -0.09) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Valencia | Draw | Girona | 
| 1-0 @ 9.72% (  -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.65% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.83% (  -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.05% (  -0) 3-0 @ 3.2% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.57% (  0) 4-1 @ 1.43% (  -0) 4-0 @ 1.13% (  -0) 4-2 @ 0.9% (  0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 40.3% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 6.91% (  -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.47% (  0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% (  0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 8.75% (  -0) 1-2 @ 7.79% (  0.01) 0-2 @ 5.54% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 3.29% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 2.34% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 2.31% (  0.01) 1-4 @ 1.04% (  0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.8% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 | 
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 | 
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 | 
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 | 
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 | 
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 | 
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 | 
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 | 
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 | 
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 | 
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