

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Valencia | 
| 46.64% (  0.04) | 24.93% (  -0.01) | 28.43% (  -0.03) | 
| Both teams to score 54.93% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.01% (  0.01) | 47.98% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.84% (  0.01) | 70.15% (  -0.02) | 
| Girona Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.38% (  0.02) | 20.62% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.82% (  0.03) | 53.17% (  -0.04) | 
| Valencia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.2% (  -0.02) | 30.8% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.93% (  -0.02) | 67.07% (  0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Girona | Draw | Valencia | 
| 1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 9.32% (  0) 2-0 @ 7.92% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 4.91% (  0) 3-0 @ 4.17% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% (  0) 4-1 @ 1.94% (  0) 4-0 @ 1.65% (  0) 4-2 @ 1.14% (  0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.63% | 1-1 @ 11.8% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.35% (  -0) 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 7.48% (  -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.95% (  -0) 0-2 @ 4.4% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.73% (  -0) 2-3 @ 2.16% (  -0) 0-3 @ 1.73% (  -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 28.43% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 26 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 57 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 57 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 56 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 49 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 44 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 41 | 
| 7 | Mallorca | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 40 | 
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 39 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 36 | 
| 10 | Sevilla | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 | 
| 11 | Real Sociedad | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 34 | 
| 12 | Getafe | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 33 | 
| 13 | GironaGirona | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 33 | 
| 14 | Osasuna | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 | 
| 15 | Espanyol | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 28 | 
| 16 | AlavesAlaves | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 27 | 
| 17 | Valencia | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 27 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 27 | 
| 19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 25 | 
| 20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 28 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 63 | -45 | 16 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
