

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Valencia |
| 46.64% ( | 24.93% ( | 28.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.01% ( | 47.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.84% ( | 70.15% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.38% ( | 20.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.82% ( | 53.17% ( |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.2% ( | 30.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.93% ( | 67.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 4-2 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.63% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0-3 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 28.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 26 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 57 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 57 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 56 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 49 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 44 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 41 |
| 7 | Mallorca | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 40 |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 36 |
| 10 | Sevilla | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Getafe | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | GironaGirona | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Osasuna | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 28 |
| 16 | AlavesAlaves | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 27 |
| 17 | Valencia | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | Leganes | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 27 |
| 19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 28 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 63 | -45 | 16 |
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