

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 52.85%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Valencia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Valencia | 
| 22.13% | 25.01% | 52.85% | 
| Both teams to score 48.65% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 46.68% | 53.32% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 25.13% | 74.86% | 
| Real Valladolid Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 60.94% | 39.06% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.22% | 75.78% | 
| Valencia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.84% | 20.16% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.55% | 52.44% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Valencia | 
| 1-0 @ 7.4% 2-1 @ 5.57% 2-0 @ 3.48% 3-1 @ 1.75% 3-2 @ 1.4% 3-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.45% Total : 22.13% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 7.87% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 12.61% 0-2 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 9.49% 0-3 @ 5.39% 1-3 @ 5.07% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-4 @ 2.16% 1-4 @ 2.03% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.67% Total : 52.84% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 55 | 11 | 44 | 76 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 65 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 23 | 27 | 63 | 
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 55 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 50 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 49 | 
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 46 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 44 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 43 | 
| 10 | GironaGirona | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 41 | 
| 11 | Sevilla | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 | 
| 12 | Mallorca | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 | 
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 39 | 
| 14 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 50 | -23 | 35 | 
| 15 | Almeria | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 33 | 
| 16 | Valencia | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 33 | 
| 17 | CadizCadiz | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 32 | 
| 18 | Getafe | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 31 | 
| 19 | Espanyol | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 28 | 
| 20 | ElcheElche | 31 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 20 | 62 | -42 | 13 | 
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