

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 30.82% | 29.02% | 40.15% |
| Both teams to score 44.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.53% | 62.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.92% | 82.08% |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.34% | 36.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.55% | 73.44% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.55% | 30.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.34% | 66.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 11.2% 2-1 @ 6.68% 2-0 @ 5.62% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.87% Total : 30.82% | 1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.02% | 0-1 @ 13.27% 1-2 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 7.89% 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 1.58% 1-4 @ 0.93% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.37% Total : 40.15% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 64 | 13 | 51 | 85 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 70 | 32 | 38 | 71 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 69 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 62 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 57 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 55 |
| 7 | GironaGirona | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 48 |
| 8 | Sevilla | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 47 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
| 10 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 47 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 46 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 44 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 39 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 38 |
| 15 | Valencia | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 37 |
| 16 | Almeria | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 36 |
| 17 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 35 | 10 | 5 | 20 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 35 |
| 18 | Getafe | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 34 |
| 19 | Espanyol | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 31 |
| R | ElcheElche | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 26 | 64 | -38 | 19 |
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