Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
43.99% (![]() | 26.61% (![]() | 29.4% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.25% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.64% (![]() | 54.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.26% (![]() | 75.74% (![]() |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.44% (![]() | 24.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.96% (![]() | 59.04% (![]() |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.6% (![]() | 33.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.98% (![]() | 70.02% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 11.51% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.87% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.09% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.15% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.28% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 2.53% Total : 43.99% | 1-1 @ 12.62% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.2% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.86% ( ![]() Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 8.99% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.93% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.78% ( ![]() Other @ 2.43% Total : 29.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 88 | 32 | 56 | 73 |
2 | Real Madrid | 31 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 64 | 31 | 33 | 66 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 53 | 27 | 26 | 63 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 57 |
5 | Villarreal | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 51 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 48 |
7 | Mallorca | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 44 |
8 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 43 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 41 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 41 |
11 | Getafe | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 39 |
12 | Espanyol | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 38 |
13 | Osasuna | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 38 |
14 | Valencia | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 38 |
15 | Sevilla | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 36 |
16 | GironaGirona | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 34 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 32 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 30 |
19 | Leganes | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 29 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 73 | -52 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |