

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Gateshead | 
| 32.69% (  0.47) | 23.71% (  0.58) | 43.6% (  -1.05) | 
| Both teams to score 61.51% (  -1.94) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.61% (  -2.62) | 40.39% (  2.62) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.24% (  -2.75) | 62.76% (  2.75) | 
| Maidenhead United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.78% (  -0.98) | 24.22% (  0.99) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.43% (  -1.42) | 58.57% (  1.42) | 
| Gateshead Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.17% (  -1.48) | 18.83% (  1.48) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.73% (  -2.52) | 50.27% (  2.52) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Gateshead | 
| 2-1 @ 7.66% (  0.13) 1-0 @ 6.47% (  0.58) 2-0 @ 4.59% (  0.29) 3-1 @ 3.62% (  -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.02% (  -0.18) 3-0 @ 2.17% (  0.08) 4-1 @ 1.28% (  -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.07% (  -0.1) Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.69% | 1-1 @ 10.79% (  0.49) 2-2 @ 6.39% (  -0.2) 0-0 @ 4.56% (  0.53) 3-3 @ 1.68% (  -0.19) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 9.02% (  -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.62% (  0.55) 0-2 @ 6.36% (  0.17) 1-3 @ 5.02% (  -0.25) 2-3 @ 3.56% (  -0.29) 0-3 @ 3.54% (  -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.09% (  -0.21) 2-4 @ 1.49% (  -0.2) 0-4 @ 1.48% (  -0.1) Other @ 3.44% Total : 43.6% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 85 | 
| 2 | York City | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 69 | 35 | 34 | 74 | 
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 72 | 
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 63 | 
| 5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 62 | 
| 6 | Gateshead | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 | 
| 7 | Rochdale | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 56 | 
| 8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 55 | 
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 53 | 
| 10 | Eastleigh | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 53 | 
| 11 | Tamworth | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 51 | 
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 47 | 
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 46 | 
| 14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 46 | 
| 15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 45 | 
| 16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 43 | 
| 17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 42 | 
| 18 | Woking | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 41 | 
| 19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 37 | 10 | 7 | 20 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 37 | 
| 20 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 36 | 
| 21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 35 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 36 | 
| 22 | Fylde | 36 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 | 
| 23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 34 | 
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 27 | 80 | -53 | 17 | 
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