

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidenhead United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 40.3% ( | 24.09% ( | 35.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.52% ( | 41.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.12% ( | 63.88% ( |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% ( | 20.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.61% ( | 53.39% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( | 23.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.05% ( | 56.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 2-0 @ 5.93% ( 3-1 @ 4.55% ( 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 4-0 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 40.3% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 3-3 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0-1 @ 7.03% ( 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.61% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 85 |
| 2 | York City | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 69 | 35 | 34 | 74 |
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 72 |
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 63 |
| 5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 62 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 56 |
| 8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 53 |
| 10 | Eastleigh | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 53 |
| 11 | Tamworth | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 51 |
| 12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 47 |
| 13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 47 |
| 14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 46 |
| 15 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 46 |
| 16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 43 |
| 17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 42 |
| 18 | Woking | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 41 |
| 19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 37 | 10 | 7 | 20 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 37 |
| 20 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 36 |
| 21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 35 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 36 |
| 22 | Fylde | 36 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
| 23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 34 |
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 27 | 80 | -53 | 17 |
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