

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidenhead United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Aldershot Town | 
| 40.3% (  -0.29) | 24.09% (  0.09) | 35.61% (  0.2) | 
| Both teams to score 60.94% (  -0.3) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 58.52% (  -0.41) | 41.48% (  0.41) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 36.12% (  -0.41) | 63.88% (  0.41) | 
| Maidenhead United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.25% (  -0.31) | 20.75% (  0.31) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.61% (  -0.49) | 53.39% (  0.49) | 
| Aldershot Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.9% (  -0.08) | 23.1% (  0.08) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.05% (  -0.12) | 56.95% (  0.12) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Aldershot Town | 
| 2-1 @ 8.69% (  -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.54% (  0.07) 2-0 @ 5.93% (  -0) 3-1 @ 4.55% (  -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.34% (  -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.11% (  -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.79% (  -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.31% (  -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.22% (  -0.02) Other @ 2.83% Total : 40.3% | 1-1 @ 11.04% (  0.07) 2-2 @ 6.36% (  -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.79% (  0.09) 3-3 @ 1.63% (  -0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 8.09% (  0.03) 0-1 @ 7.03% (  0.11) 0-2 @ 5.15% (  0.07) 1-3 @ 3.95% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 3.11% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.51% (  0.03) 1-4 @ 1.45% (  -0) 2-4 @ 1.14% (  -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.92% (  0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.61% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 85 | 
| 2 | York City | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 69 | 35 | 34 | 74 | 
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 72 | 
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 63 | 
| 5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 62 | 
| 6 | Gateshead | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 | 
| 7 | Rochdale | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 56 | 
| 8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 55 | 
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 53 | 
| 10 | Eastleigh | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 53 | 
| 11 | Tamworth | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 51 | 
| 12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 47 | 
| 13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 47 | 
| 14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 46 | 
| 15 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 46 | 
| 16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 43 | 
| 17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 42 | 
| 18 | Woking | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 41 | 
| 19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 37 | 10 | 7 | 20 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 37 | 
| 20 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 36 | 
| 21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 35 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 36 | 
| 22 | Fylde | 36 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 | 
| 23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 34 | 
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 27 | 80 | -53 | 17 | 
| > National League Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
