Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 54.62%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | Hartlepool United |
54.62% (![]() | 21.92% (![]() | 23.45% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.33% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.34% (![]() | 38.65% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.04% (![]() | 60.95% (![]() |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.84% (![]() | 14.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.16% (![]() | 41.83% (![]() |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.28% (![]() | 29.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.22% (![]() | 65.77% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | Hartlepool United |
2-1 @ 9.76% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.22% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.04% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.24% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.38% Total : 54.62% | 1-1 @ 9.98% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.21% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.56% ( ![]() Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.92% | 1-2 @ 6.06% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 3.1% Total : 23.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 44 | 29 | 9 | 6 | 90 | 38 | 52 | 96 |
2 | York City | 44 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 91 | 42 | 49 | 90 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 21 | 16 | 7 | 67 | 41 | 26 | 79 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 44 | 18 | 16 | 10 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 70 |
5 | Rochdale | 43 | 19 | 11 | 13 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 44 | 18 | 13 | 13 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 67 |
7 | Gateshead | 44 | 19 | 9 | 16 | 75 | 66 | 9 | 66 |
8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 44 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 64 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 66 | 55 | 11 | 63 |
10 | Tamworth | 44 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 60 | 68 | -8 | 60 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 44 | 14 | 17 | 13 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 59 |
12 | Eastleigh | 44 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 58 |
13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 43 | 16 | 9 | 18 | 60 | 63 | -3 | 57 |
14 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 56 |
15 | Woking | 44 | 13 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 56 |
16 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 56 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 78 | -11 | 54 |
18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 53 |
19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 44 | 14 | 10 | 20 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 52 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 44 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 72 | -19 | 50 |
21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 44 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 48 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 75 | -23 | 46 |
23 | Fylde | 44 | 11 | 7 | 26 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 40 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 44 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 38 | 94 | -56 | 22 |
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