

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 54.62%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | Hartlepool United | 
| 54.62% (  -0.13) | 21.92% (  -0.03) | 23.45% (  0.16) | 
| Both teams to score 60.33% (  0.3) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 61.34% (  0.3) | 38.65% (  -0.3) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 39.04% (  0.32) | 60.95% (  -0.32) | 
| Gateshead Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.84% (  0.06) | 14.16% (  -0.06) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.16% (  0.12) | 41.83% (  -0.12) | 
| Hartlepool United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.28% (  0.29) | 29.71% (  -0.29) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.22% (  0.36) | 65.77% (  -0.36) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Gateshead | Draw | Hartlepool United | 
| 2-1 @ 9.76% (  -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.22% (  -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.04% (  -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.36% (  0) 3-0 @ 5.24% (  -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.86% (  0.03) 4-1 @ 3.11% (  0.01) 4-0 @ 2.56% (  -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.89% (  0.02) 5-1 @ 1.22% (  0.01) 5-0 @ 1% (  -0) Other @ 3.38% Total : 54.62% | 1-1 @ 9.98% (  -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.92% (  0.04) 0-0 @ 4.21% (  -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.56% (  0.03) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.92% | 1-2 @ 6.06% (  0.03) 0-1 @ 5.11% (  -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.1% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 2.45% (  0.03) 2-3 @ 2.4% (  0.04) 0-3 @ 1.25% (  0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 23.45% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 44 | 29 | 9 | 6 | 90 | 38 | 52 | 96 | 
| 2 | York City | 44 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 91 | 42 | 49 | 90 | 
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 21 | 16 | 7 | 67 | 41 | 26 | 79 | 
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 44 | 18 | 16 | 10 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 70 | 
| 5 | Rochdale | 43 | 19 | 11 | 13 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 68 | 
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 44 | 18 | 13 | 13 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 67 | 
| 7 | Gateshead | 44 | 19 | 9 | 16 | 75 | 66 | 9 | 66 | 
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 44 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 64 | 
| 9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 66 | 55 | 11 | 63 | 
| 10 | Tamworth | 44 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 60 | 68 | -8 | 60 | 
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 44 | 14 | 17 | 13 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 59 | 
| 12 | Eastleigh | 44 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 58 | 
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 43 | 16 | 9 | 18 | 60 | 63 | -3 | 57 | 
| 14 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 56 | 
| 15 | Woking | 44 | 13 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 56 | 
| 16 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 56 | 
| 17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 78 | -11 | 54 | 
| 18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 53 | 
| 19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 44 | 14 | 10 | 20 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 52 | 
| 20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 44 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 72 | -19 | 50 | 
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 44 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 48 | 
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 75 | -23 | 46 | 
| 23 | Fylde | 44 | 11 | 7 | 26 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 40 | 
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 44 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 38 | 94 | -56 | 22 | 
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