

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 55.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-0 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Gateshead | 
| 21.39% (  0.18) | 22.82% (  0.18) | 55.8% (  -0.36) | 
| Both teams to score 54.41% (  -0.31) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.81% (  -0.54) | 45.19% (  0.54) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.47% (  -0.52) | 67.54% (  0.52) | 
| Eastleigh Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 64.8% (  -0.13) | 35.21% (  0.13) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.04% (  -0.13) | 71.96% (  0.13) | 
| Gateshead Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.97% (  -0.31) | 16.03% (  0.31) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.62% (  -0.57) | 45.38% (  0.57) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Eastleigh | Draw | Gateshead | 
| 1-0 @ 5.89% (  0.12) 2-1 @ 5.63% (  0.03) 2-0 @ 3.08% (  0.05) 3-1 @ 1.96% (  0) 3-2 @ 1.79% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.07% (  0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 21.39% | 1-1 @ 10.78% (  0.1) 0-0 @ 5.65% (  0.13) 2-2 @ 5.15% (  -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.09% (  -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.81% | 0-1 @ 10.33% (  0.13) 1-2 @ 9.87% (  -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.46% (  0.02) 1-3 @ 6.02% (  -0.07) 0-3 @ 5.77% (  -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.14% (  -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.76% (  -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.64% (  -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.44% (  -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.01% (  -0.04) 0-5 @ 0.97% (  -0.03) Other @ 2.38% Total : 55.79% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 85 | 
| 2 | York City | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 69 | 35 | 34 | 74 | 
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 72 | 
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 63 | 
| 5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 37 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 62 | 
| 6 | Gateshead | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 66 | 52 | 14 | 60 | 
| 7 | Rochdale | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 56 | 
| 8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 55 | 
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 53 | 
| 10 | Eastleigh | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 53 | 
| 11 | Tamworth | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 51 | 
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 49 | 50 | -1 | 50 | 
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 47 | 
| 14 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 46 | 
| 15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 46 | 
| 16 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 46 | 
| 17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 45 | 
| 18 | Woking | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 41 | 
| 19 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 39 | 
| 20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 39 | 
| 21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 37 | 
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 43 | 69 | -26 | 37 | 
| 23 | Fylde | 37 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 43 | 70 | -27 | 36 | 
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 27 | 80 | -53 | 17 | 
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