Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig3 - 0Augsburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-3 RB Leipzig
Sunday, September 3 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, September 3 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: RB Leipzig 4-1 Augsburg
While RB Leipzig have scored 10 goals in three Bundesliga games this season, Augsburg have already conceded nine times, failing to taste victory along the way. With that in mind, we expect the Red Bulls to notch another high-scoring win on Saturday, extending Augsburg's winless run in the process. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 15.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 3-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Augsburg |
67.12% ( 0.99) | 17.74% ( -0.29) | 15.13% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 60.22% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
