Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 75.19%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 10.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-3 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 2-1 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Barcelona |
10.1% (![]() | 14.71% (![]() | 75.19% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.72% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.95% (![]() | 30.05% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.74% (![]() | 51.26% (![]() |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.71% (![]() | 40.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.09% (![]() | 76.92% (![]() |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.3% (![]() | 6.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.2% (![]() | 24.81% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Barcelona |
2-1 @ 3.02% (![]() 1-0 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 1.37% Total : 10.1% | 1-1 @ 6.63% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.08% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 14.71% | 0-2 @ 9.86% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.97% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 8.89% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 8.08% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 7.3% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 6.01% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 5.46% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 4.15% Total : 75.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 |
7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 |
8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 |
10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 |
11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 |
12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 |
15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 |
17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 |
18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 |
R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 |
R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |