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Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Britannia Stadium
Norwich logo

Stoke
1 - 1
Norwich

Manhoef (45+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Crnac (45')
Doyle (45+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 0-0 Stoke
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 4-0 Hull City
Saturday, October 5 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-2 Norwich City

With Stoke gradually improving under Pelach, this should make for an entertaining game. However, Norwich have really hit their stride in the final third and we can see a high-scoring draw being played out between two sides who want to play attacking football. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawNorwich City
47.26% (0.203 0.2) 24.61% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 28.13% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 55.77% (0.173 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.21% (0.268 0.27)46.79% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.95% (0.247 0.25)69.05% (-0.25 -0.25)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13% (0.19199999999999 0.19)19.87% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.02% (0.307 0.31)51.98% (-0.31 -0.31)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.6% (0.047999999999988 0.05)30.4% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.4% (0.056000000000004 0.06)66.6% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 47.26%
    Norwich City 28.13%
    Draw 24.6%
Stoke CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 9.76% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.06% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.25% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.04% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 47.26%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 7.19% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 28.13%

How you voted: Stoke vs Norwich

Stoke City
30.6%
Draw
25.0%
Norwich City
44.4%
72
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 38
Stoke
0-3
Norwich

Campbell (55')
Sargent (24'), Sara (28'), Barnes (60')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Norwich
1-0
Stoke
Stacey (44')
Giannoulis (43'), Fassnacht (81')

Leris (20'), Pearson (31')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Norwich
3-1
Stoke
Ramsey (38', 71'), Sara (77')
Powell (90+2')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Norwich
4-1
Stoke
Cantwell (15'), Pukki (44', 80' pen.), Buendia (64')
Powell (61')
Powell (42'), Obi Mikel (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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