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FC Cincinnati
US Open Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jun 7, 2023 at 12am UK
Dr. DY Patil Stadium
Cincinnati
3 - 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Vazquez (56'), Barreal (71'), Arias (90+2')
Nwobodo (11'), Murphy (29'), Badji (35'), Acosta (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Showunmi (90+4')
Biasi (23')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's US Open Cup clash between FC Cincinnati and Pittsburgh Riverhounds, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Cincy are not nearly as susceptible along the back end as the Revs or Columbus, and like Pittsburgh, they have won their share of close 1-0 games throughout the campaign. Expect the Hounds to try and swarm the Orange and Blue with numerous players behind the ball, it is just difficult to envision the visitors creating much against such a deep squad like Cincinnati, let alone keep them off the scoresheet for 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 52.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Pittsburgh Riverhounds had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawPittsburgh Riverhounds
52.81% (1.282 1.28) 25.29% (0.168 0.17) 21.9% (-1.453 -1.45)
Both teams to score 47.58% (-2.188 -2.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.41% (-2.013 -2.01)54.58% (2.009 2.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.07% (-1.697 -1.7)75.93% (1.694 1.69)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (-0.27799999999999 -0.28)20.68% (0.275 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.72% (-0.438 -0.44)53.27% (0.434 0.43)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.99% (-2.539 -2.54)40.01% (2.535 2.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.34% (-2.407 -2.41)76.66% (2.404 2.4)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 52.79%
    Pittsburgh Riverhounds 21.9%
    Draw 25.28%
FC CincinnatiDrawPittsburgh Riverhounds
1-0 @ 13.03% (0.88 0.88)
2-0 @ 10.27% (0.612 0.61)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.4% (0.281 0.28)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.2 -0.2)
4-0 @ 2.13% (0.094 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 52.79%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.27% (0.627 0.63)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.342 -0.34)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.58% (0.074 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.47% (-0.384 -0.38)
0-2 @ 3.47% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.245 -0.25)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 21.9%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds

FC Cincinnati
90.9%
Draw
0.0%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
9.1%
11
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for FC Cincinnati
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38285594336189
2Arsenal38266688434584
3Manchester UnitedMan Utd38236958431575
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381914568333571
5Liverpool381910975472867
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381881272531962
7Aston Villa38187135146561
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs38186147063760
9Brentford381514958461259
10Fulham38157165553252
11Crystal Palace381112154049-945
12Chelsea381111163847-944
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38118193158-2741
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham38117204255-1340
15Bournemouth38116213771-3439
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest38911183868-3038
17Everton38812183457-2336
RLeicester CityLeicester3897225168-1734
RLeeds UnitedLeeds38710214878-3031
RSouthampton3867253673-3725

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