MX23RW : Thursday, June 22 23:17:03| >> :120:18779:18779:
European Under-21 Championship | Group Stage
Jun 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cluj Arena
France U21s
2 - 1
Italy U21s
Kalimuendo (22'), Barcola (62')
Nkounkou (15'), Adli (86')
Bade (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pellegri (36')
Scalvini (16'), Lovato (64'), Gnonto (90+2')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's European Under-21 Championship clash between France Under-21s and Italy Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Netherlands U21s 2-1 France U21s
Monday, May 31 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
All competitions
Last Game: Italy U21s 0-2 England U21s
Thursday, September 22 at 4.30pm in Under-21 Friendlies

We said: France Under-21s 1-1 Italy Under-21s

Neither team suffered a single defeat during qualifying, highlighting the standard of their current Under-21 crops. Aware that they are clear favourites to prevail in their remaining group fixtures, avoiding defeat may become a priority during the latter stages, and we would not be surprised to see a low-scoring draw play out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for France Under-21s has a probability of 24.14% and a draw has a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest France Under-21s win is 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.38%).

Result
France Under-21sDrawItaly Under-21s
24.14% (-14.147 -14.15) 24.02% (3.449 3.45) 51.85% (10.703 10.7)
Both teams to score 54.04% (-21.216 -21.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.64% (-24.183 -24.18)47.36% (24.186 24.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.42% (-27.08 -27.08)69.58% (27.085 27.09)
France Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.1% (-20.149 -20.15)33.9% (20.154 20.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.43% (-29.548 -29.55)70.57% (29.552 29.55)
Italy Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74% (-5.498 -5.5)18.26% (5.501 5.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (-10.276 -10.28)49.31% (10.28 10.28)
Score Analysis
    France Under-21s 24.14%
    Italy Under-21s 51.84%
    Draw 24.01%
France Under-21sDrawItaly Under-21s
1-0 @ 6.7% (3.215 3.22)
2-1 @ 6.16% (-0.951 -0.95)
2-0 @ 3.62% (0.169 0.17)
3-1 @ 2.22% (-2.482 -2.48)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-2.954 -2.95)
3-0 @ 1.31% (-0.978 -0.98)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 24.14%
1-1 @ 11.38% (4.215 4.22)
0-0 @ 6.19% (4.436 4.44)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-2.083 -2.08)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-2.253 -2.25)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.01%
0-1 @ 10.52% (6.91 6.91)
1-2 @ 9.68% (2.305 2.31)
0-2 @ 8.95% (5.232 5.23)
1-3 @ 5.49% (0.425 0.43)
0-3 @ 5.07% (2.522 2.52)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-2.055 -2.06)
1-4 @ 2.33% (-0.273 -0.27)
0-4 @ 2.16% (0.844 0.84)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-1.324 -1.32)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 51.84%

How you voted: France U21s vs Italy U21s

France Under-21s
56.8%
Draw
34.1%
Italy Under-21s
9.1%
44
Head to Head
May 29, 2018 8pm
International Friendlies
France U21s
1-1
Italy U21s
Dembele (12')
Capone (76')
rhs 2.0
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