Coverage of the European Under-21 Championship Group Stage clash between Spain Under-21s and Italy Under-21s.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-21s win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Italy Under-21s had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Italy Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
