Kazakhstan2 - 1Belarus
Zainutdinov (10'), Tagybergen (39'), Darabaev (49'), Astanov (90+2')
Tagybergen (90+4')
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, June 13 at 3pm in Nations League
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Monday, June 13 at 5pm in Nations League
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Kazakhstan 2-0 Belarus
Despite having dominated League C Group 3, Azerbaijan are yet to score more than twice in a single fixture. That is a statistic which will only encourage their opponents, but we still expect the home side to make relatively light work of Belarus on Thursday, securing promotion in the process. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 51.9%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.79%) and 1-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Belarus win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Kazakhstan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kazakhstan.
| Result | ||
| Kazakhstan | Draw | Belarus |
51.9% ( -0.04) | 21.64% ( 0.01) | 26.46% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 64.8% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
