Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 7
May 4, 2025 at 8pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Santos

Gremio
1 - 0
Santos

Olivera (77')
Eduardo Schlemper (36'), Braithwaite (48'), Kannemann (57'), Edenilson (90+5'), Marlon (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Peres (5'), Luisao (10'), Rincon (75')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Santos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: CSA 3-2 Gremio
Thursday, May 1 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Santos

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 1-1 CRB
Thursday, May 1 at 10pm in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Santos had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.

Result
GremioDrawSantos
41.97% (-0.675 -0.67)27.14% (0.279 0.28)30.89% (0.395 0.4)
Both teams to score 49.36% (-0.674 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.17% (-0.941 -0.94)55.82% (0.938 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.05% (-0.774 -0.77)76.95% (0.77 0.77)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75% (-0.78099999999999 -0.78)26.25% (0.778 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.63% (-1.057 -1.06)61.36% (1.055 1.06)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.93% (-0.205 -0.2)33.07% (0.20200000000001 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.34% (-0.227 -0.23)69.66% (0.223 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 41.97%
    Santos 30.89%
    Draw 27.13%
GremioDrawSantos
1-0 @ 11.61% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 41.97%
1-1 @ 12.84% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.68% (0.309 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.093000000000001 -0.09)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 9.61% (0.291 0.29)
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.32% (0.132 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.89%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 20
Santos
2-1
Gremio
Leonardo (63'), Furch (90')
Joaquim (16'), Leonardo (64'), Soteldo (72'), Vicente Aguirre Camblor (90+2'), Furch (90+1'), Dodo (90+7'), Paulo (90+5')
Cristaldo (46')
Reinaldo (16'), Da Silva (43'), Ely (86'), Martins (90+4'), Alves (90+5')
Reinaldo (90+2'), Portaluppi (90+3')
Apr 16, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 1
Gremio
1-0
Santos
Pedro (44')
Oct 10, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 25
Santos
1-0
Gremio
Leonardo (90+2')
Baptistao (45+1'), Jonatan (90+3'), Sanchez (90+6'), Tardelli (90+6')

Rodrigues (9'), Thiago (32'), Costa (45+2'), Kannemann (47'), Silva (67'), Rafinha (72')
Rafinha (90+8')
> Preview
Jun 25, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 6
Gremio
2-2
Santos
Souza (4'), Pereira (44')
Souza (22'), Ferreira (68')
Guilherme (29'), Marinho (78')
Camacho (49'), Mota (56'), Marinho (90+6')
> Preview
Feb 3, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 34
Gremio
3-3
Santos
Souza (37' pen.), Pyerre (46'), Pepe (53')
Kannemann (66'), Souza (68'), Henrique (85'), Ferraz (90+2'), Fernando (90+4')
Jorge (8'), Arthur (67' pen.), Madson (90+6' pen.)
Sandry (13'), Madson (70')
Sandry (87')