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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Blackburn logo

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
Blackburn

Brannagan (67')
Helik (21')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gueye (33'), Cantwell (53'), Brittain (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 1-1 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 3-0 Portsmouth
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 0-1 Blackburn Rovers

Rovers are getting back into form after their blip around the Christmas period, so we expect them to pick up three points here against Oxford. It should be a tight encounter between the two clubs, but the visitors have a strong defence and we think they can grab a goal to seal another important win for Eustace's men. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawBlackburn Rovers
35.55% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 27.36% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 37.09% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 49.75% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.18% (0.11 0.11)55.82% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.06% (0.09 0.09)76.94% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.07% (0.024999999999991 0.02)29.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)66.04% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (0.102 0.1)28.99% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.11% (0.124 0.12)64.88% (-0.123 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 35.54%
    Blackburn Rovers 37.09%
    Draw 27.36%
Oxford UnitedDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 10.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.31% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 35.54%
1-1 @ 12.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.68% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 10.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.02% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.65% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.09%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Blackburn

Oxford United
25.0%
Draw
30.0%
Blackburn Rovers
45.0%
40
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Blackburn
2-1
Oxford Utd
Rankin-Costello (45+2'), Sigurdsson (83')
Tronstad (37'), Travis (77')
Harris (44')
Kioso (57')
May 5, 2018 5.30pm
Nov 21, 2017 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
2-4
Blackburn
Payne (45'), Obika (85')
Mulgrew (6', 22'), Antonsson (17'), Nuttall (71')
Mulgrew (74'), Downing (82')
Jan 30, 2016 3pm
Fourth Round
Oxford Utd
0-3
Blackburn

Mullins (5'), Baldock (64'), Kenny (92')
Marshall (36' pen., 76'), Watt (45')
Spurr (39'), Jackson (50'), Lenihan (54'), Conway (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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