Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 23, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica7 - 0Estrela Amadora
FT(HT: 3-0)
Montoia (41'), Martins Travassos (63')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 4-1 Porto
Sunday, November 10 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, November 10 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-0 Nacional
Sunday, November 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, November 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
10
We said: Benfica 3-1 Estrela Amadora
Following their emphatic victory over Porto last time out, Benfica will look to keep the juggernaut rolling this weekend as they take on an Estrela side who have struggled for consistency this season. Given the gulf in quality and depth between the two teams, and their contrasting form, we fancy Lage's men to come away with the desired result in normal time. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 85.22%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 4.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 4-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.58%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-2 (1.58%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
85.22% ( -0.94) | 9.88% ( 0.4) | 4.91% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 47.68% ( 2.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
