Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estrela Amadora would win this match.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Moreirense |
41.98% (![]() | 27.28% (![]() | 30.73% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.87% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.58% (![]() | 56.41% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.57% (![]() | 77.42% (![]() |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.48% (![]() | 26.52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.28% (![]() | 61.72% (![]() |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.51% (![]() | 33.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.88% (![]() | 70.12% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 11.78% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.56% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.82% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.97% | 1-1 @ 12.89% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.88% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.68% ( ![]() Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 9.72% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.05% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.32% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.71% ( ![]() Other @ 2.43% Total : 30.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 61 | 20 | 41 | 53 |
2 | Benfica | 23 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 53 |
3 | Porto | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 19 | 30 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 39 |
6 | Casa Pia | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 27 |
12 | Nacional | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 26 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 |
14 | AVS | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 23 |
15 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 22 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 16 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |