Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.33%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 13.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Gil Vicente |
68.33% (![]() | 18.28% (![]() | 13.4% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.17% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.38% (![]() | 38.62% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.08% (![]() | 60.92% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.69% (![]() | 10.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.26% (![]() | 33.75% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.28% (![]() | 40.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.7% (![]() | 77.3% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Gil Vicente |
2-0 @ 10.83% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.74% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.54% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.21% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.37% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.19% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.88% ( ![]() Other @ 4.58% Total : 68.32% | 1-1 @ 8.57% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.37% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.2% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.28% | 1-2 @ 3.85% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.77% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 1.61% Total : 13.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 27 | 61 | 82 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84 | 28 | 56 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 71 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 66 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 57 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 54 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 46 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 45 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 40 |
11 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 38 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 38 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 34 |
14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 34 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 29 |
R | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 27 |
17 | AVS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 27 |
R | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 59 | -35 | 24 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |