Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 27, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Dr. Nicolas Leoz
Libertad2 - 2Alianza Lima
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Club Libertad 1-0 Alianza Lima
There are too many question marks surrounding the visitors, and we believe the Paraguayan's experience and strong defensive organisation at home will make the difference. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Alianza Lima win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Club Libertad | Draw | Alianza Lima |
40.81% ( 2.26) | 27.36% ( 0.1) | 31.84% ( -2.36) |
| Both teams to score 49.06% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
