Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.