Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico San Luis would win this match.
